The Atlanta Braves (28-17) will look to Matt Olson, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Seattle Mariners (22-23) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, at Truist Park.
The Braves are a close favorite (-116 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Mariners (-102). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -116 | -102 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 20, or 62.5%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has entered 29 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 20-9 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of 37 opportunities.
- In 37 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 14-23-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win five times (41.7%) in those contests.
- This season, Seattle has been victorious five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 17 of 37 chances this season.
- In 37 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 17-20-0 against the spread.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- Shuster and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
- This will be Shuster’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Shuster and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started this season.
- The only game started by Shuster with a total this season hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 21 | 20.2 | 26 | 7.40 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 19 | 20.1 | 25 | 2.21 | 9 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 17 | 19.1 | 22 | 2.79 | 7 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 15 | 15.2 | 21 | 4.02 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 14 | 15.2 | 21 | 4.02 | 2 | 0 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby (5-2) gets the starting nod for the Mariners in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.45 ERA in 51 1/3 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.
- In his most recent outing on Monday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering eight hits.
- Kirby will look to prolong an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.4 innings per appearance).
- The Mariners have not been a moneyline underdog when Kirby starts this season.
- Kirby’s team has a 5-3 record in his starts this season.
- Kirby’s starts went over the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 23 | 20 | 39 | 4.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 21 | 20.2 | 26 | 3.48 | 0 | 9 |
| Trevor Gott | 21 | 21.2 | 24 | 2.08 | 6 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 20 | 16 | 13 | 3.38 | 6 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 19 | 18.1 | 16 | 2.95 | 8 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 15-7 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 35 games this season, and is 24-11 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 24-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 10-7 in the 17 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won nine of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In five games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-1.
- In 31 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-13.
- Seattle has won 23 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-3
Braves vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-116)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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