The Milwaukee Brewers (24-21) hope to break their three-game losing run against the Tampa Bay Rays (34-13), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Rays are favored (-136 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Brewers (+116). The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -136 | +116 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 34 times and won 24, or 70.6%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 20-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
- The Rays have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of 40 opportunities.
- The Rays are 22-18-0 against the spread in their 40 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.71 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (41.2%) in those games.
- Milwaukee has a mark of 6-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +116 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 38 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 16-22-0 against the spread in their 38 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Jalen Beeks
- Beeks and his team are 1-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Thursday, when he threw one scoreless inning while allowing one hit to the New York Mets.
- Beeks has yet to pitch five or more innings in any of his five starts this season. He averages 1.4 frames per outing.
- When Beeks starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-3.
- Beeks’ team has won two of his five starts.
- Games started by Beeks have a 2-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 19 | 19.2 | 25 | 2.75 | 4 | 5 |
| Colin Poche | 17 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.72 | 6 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 16 | 22.2 | 18 | 4.76 | 4 | 2 |
| Jake Diekman | 16 | 13.2 | 13 | 7.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 14 | 15 | 9 | 6.60 | 3 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta (4-3) gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.11 ERA in 46 2/3 innings pitched, with 50 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Peralta is looking for his ninth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 frames per start.
- The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for one Peralta start this season — they lost.
- Peralta’s team is 4-4 over his eight starts.
- Peralta’s starts went over the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 19 | 17.1 | 14 | 4.15 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 19 | 20.1 | 17 | 3.54 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 18 | 22 | 25 | 2.45 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 13 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 6 |
| Bryse Wilson | 13 | 24.2 | 24 | 2.92 | 1 | 2 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 21-9 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
- Tampa Bay is 18-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 29-17 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Tampa Bay is 28-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays are 12-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its three games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 21-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has a 26-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-4
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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