Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 20, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (30-16) will look for continued production from a hitter on a hot streak versus the Toronto Blue Jays (25-21) on Sunday at 1:37 PM ET, at Rogers Centre. Ryan O’Hearn is on a two-game homer streak.

The Blue Jays are favored at home (-196) against the Orioles (+165). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of May 21, 2023 at 1:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -196 +165 8.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 27 times and won 14, or 51.9%, of those games.
  • Toronto has entered eight games this season favored by -196 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 66.2% chance to win.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of 38 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays are 19-19-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 8
ERA 3.33
K/9 9.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has been listed as an underdog of +165 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Orioles are 24-15-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 16
ERA 3.26
K/9 10.0

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

  • When Gausman starts, his team is 1-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
  • Gausman has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Gausman’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gausman’s team has won four of his nine starts.
  • In games Gausman has started this season, the teams are 3-4-0 at hitting the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 22 23 28 3.52 10 0
Yimi Garcia 21 21 25 4.29 7 0
Tim Mayza 21 16 16 1.13 3 1
Jordan Romano 19 19 24 3.32 1 10
Anthony Bass 15 14 13 5.79 1 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer

  • Kremer (5-1) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.94 ERA in 47 1/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
  • His last appearance was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Kremer will look to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Orioles are 3-1 in Kremer’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Kremer’s nine starts, his team is 6-3.
  • Kremer has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 22 22 28 2.86 9 0
Felix Bautista 20 23 45 1.17 0 11
Michael Baumann 19 23.1 26 4.24 1 0
Cionel Pérez 19 17.2 14 3.57 6 0
Danny Coulombe 19 16 24 2.81 9 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 7-4 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
  • Toronto is undefeated in its six games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 30-12 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • Toronto is 24-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-1.
  • They have won 21 of the 32 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-6.
  • They have a 14-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-196)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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