The Arizona Diamondbacks (26-20) will look to Lourdes Gurriel Jr., currently on a 10-game hitting streak, versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-21) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, at PNC Park.
The Pirates (+111 underdog moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Diamondbacks (-129). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -129 | +111 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 11, or 57.9%, of those games.
- This season Arizona has won nine of its 16 games, or 56.2%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 56.3% chance to win.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 38 games with a total this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 21-17-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.96 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 10 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won eight of 20 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 38 opportunities.
- In 38 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 19-19-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.79 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- Kelly and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.
- Kelly has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Kelly’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1).
- Kelly’s team has a 5-4 record in his starts this season.
- In Kelly’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 19 | 20.2 | 19 | 2.61 | 7 | 4 |
| Scott McGough | 19 | 22 | 22 | 4.50 | 7 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 19 | 17.2 | 26 | 3.57 | 4 | 6 |
| Kyle Nelson | 18 | 18 | 21 | 1.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 17 | 18.1 | 16 | 3.44 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- Contreras gets the start for the Pirates, his ninth of the season. He is 3-4 with a 4.40 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday, May 13 against the Baltimore Orioles, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Contreras is aiming for his seventh straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in six of Contreras’ starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those games.
- In Contreras’ eight starts, his team is 4-4.
- Contreras’ starts went over the run total four times in seven games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 17 | 21.1 | 11 | 5.48 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 17 | 20.2 | 30 | 2.18 | 2 | 1 |
| Colin Holderman | 16 | 17 | 21 | 2.65 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 16 | 17 | 22 | 0.53 | 0 | 9 |
| Jose Hernandez | 16 | 18 | 20 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 15-6 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
- Arizona is 11-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 28-10 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Arizona has a 28-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 10-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 13 of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won each of its 11 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 21 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 16-5.
- Pittsburgh has a 15-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 10-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+111)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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