The Cleveland Guardians (20-24) will look for continued power from a hitter on a hot streak against the New York Mets (23-23) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, at Citi Field. Gabriel Arias is on a two-game homer streak.
The favored Mets (-148 moneyline odds to win) host the Guardians (+127). The total for this game is 7.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -148 | +127 | 7.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 15, or 48.4%, of those games.
- This season New York has won eight of its 21 games, or 38.1%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of 39 opportunities.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 12-27-0 in 39 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with five wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +127 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of its 36 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 13-23-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- When Scherzer starts, his team is 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings while giving up one earned run on two hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Scherzer has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 4.5 frames when he pitches.
- Scherzer’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
- Scherzer’s team has won four of his six starts.
- Games Scherzer has started this season hit the over two times in four chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 19 | 18 | 19 | 3.50 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 18 | 16.1 | 22 | 2.76 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 18 | 20 | 25 | 0.90 | 4 | 8 |
| Brooks Raley | 15 | 13.1 | 14 | 4.05 | 9 | 0 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee (1-1) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.22 ERA in 22 1/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last time out was on Sunday, May 14 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
- Bibee has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season entering this matchup.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Bibee start this season — they lost.
- Bibee’s team has won two of his four starts.
- Bibee has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those outings.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 22 | 23 | 15 | 3.52 | 0 | 15 |
| James Karinchak | 20 | 19.2 | 28 | 5.03 | 9 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 19 | 18.2 | 21 | 1.45 | 6 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 17 | 16.1 | 14 | 2.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 15 | 18 | 18 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have racked up at least two long balls in 13 games this season, and are 8-5 in those contests.
- New York has gone 5-2 in its seven games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 30 times this season, and has a 21-9 record in those games.
- New York is 21-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets have gone 6-3 over the nine games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 4-2 in those matchups.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-4.
- They have won 11 of the 22 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has won nine of its 12 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 8-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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