Christopher Morel carries a 10-game hitting streak into the Chicago Cubs’ (20-25) game versus the Philadelphia Phillies (21-24), at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The favored Phillies (-119 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Cubs (+102). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -119 | +102 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 14, or 53.8%, of the 26 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has entered 21 games this season favored by -119 or more and is 12-9 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of 38 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 17-21-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won in eight, or 40%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Chicago has a mark of 7-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 39 chances this season.
- The Cubs are 21-18-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 7.93 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker’s team is 5-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed two-thirds of an inning while giving up four earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- In nine starts this season, Walker has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 4.6 innings per appearance.
- Walker’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Walker’s team has won five of his nine starts this season.
- In Walker’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 21 | 18.1 | 19 | 3.93 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 21 | 20 | 24 | 4.95 | 7 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 19 | 23.1 | 20 | 2.70 | 2 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 18 | 16 | 27 | 6.19 | 3 | 4 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 12 | 11.2 | 13 | 6.17 | 1 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele makes the start for the Cubs, his 10th of the season. He is 6-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, when he went six innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Steele will try to build on a 10-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
- The Cubs are 2-1 in Steele’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
- Steele has had eight starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 18 | 19 | 21 | 7.58 | 3 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 16 | 18 | 28 | 2.00 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 16 | 17.2 | 20 | 5.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 15 | 22.2 | 21 | 1.99 | 6 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have put up two or more home runs in 12 games this season, and are 10-2 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 10-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 34 times this season, and has a 20-14 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has an 18-2 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 10-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 9-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 25 of the 36 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won 19 of its 23 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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