The Tampa Bay Rays (33-13) are looking for Yandy Diaz to extend a 12-game hitting streak versus the Milwaukee Brewers (24-20) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Tropicana Field.
The Rays are the home favorite (-206) versus the Brewers (+175). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of May 20, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -206 | +175 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 23 (69.7%) of those contests.
- Tampa Bay has been at least -206 moneyline favorites six times this season and won each of those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 67.3% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of 39 opportunities.
- The Rays are 21-18-0 against the spread in their 39 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee has played as an underdog of +175 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 36.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 37 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 16-21-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.17 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin and his team have a record of 1-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Eflin has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Eflin’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-1.
- Eflin’s team is 6-1 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Eflin have a 1-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 18 | 19 | 24 | 2.84 | 4 | 5 |
| Colin Poche | 17 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.72 | 6 | 0 |
| Jake Diekman | 16 | 13.2 | 13 | 7.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 15 | 22.1 | 18 | 4.84 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Thompson | 13 | 14 | 8 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer
- Lauer (4-4 with a 4.54 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his ninth of the season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing two hits.
- Lauer enters this game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Brewers are 2-2 in Lauer’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Lauer’s eight starts, his team is 4-4.
- Lauer has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 19 | 20.1 | 17 | 3.54 | 10 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 19 | 17.1 | 14 | 4.15 | 4 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 18 | 22 | 25 | 2.45 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 13 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 6 |
| Bryse Wilson | 12 | 21.2 | 23 | 3.32 | 1 | 2 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit two or more dingers in 29 games this season, and are 20-9 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay has gone 18-2 in its 20 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 45 games this season, and is 28-17 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 27-12 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 13 games this season, and are 11-2 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 23-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 21-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has a 26-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-4
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-206)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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