The Tampa Bay Rays (32-13) host the Milwaukee Brewers (24-19) to start a three-game series at Tropicana Field, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Rays are on the back of a series defeat to the Mets, and the Brewers a series loss to the Cardinals.
The Rays are a home favorite (-255) against the Brewers (+215). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 19, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -255 | +215 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 22 (68.8%) of those contests.
- Tampa Bay is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -255 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 38 games with a total.
- In 38 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 21-17-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games.
- Milwaukee has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +215.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 31.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of its 36 opportunities.
- The Brewers have an against the spread mark of 15-21-0 in 36 games with a line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.32 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan
- McClanahan and his team are 5-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in four innings against the New York Yankees.
- McClanahan has eight starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 5.6 innings per outing.
- McClanahan’s team has a record of 6-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- McClanahan’s team has an 8-1 record in his starts this season.
- Games McClanahan has started this season hit the over five times in seven chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 17 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.72 | 6 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | 17 | 18 | 22 | 3.00 | 4 | 5 |
| Jake Diekman | 16 | 13.2 | 13 | 7.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 15 | 22.1 | 18 | 4.84 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Thompson | 13 | 14 | 8 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- The Brewers will look to Houser (0-0) to open the game and make his third start this season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander threw four innings against the Kansas City Royals, allowing three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for one Houser start this season — they won.
- His team has won both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Houser’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 19 | 17.1 | 14 | 4.15 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 18 | 19.1 | 16 | 3.26 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 17 | 21 | 23 | 2.57 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 13 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 6 |
| Bryse Wilson | 12 | 21.2 | 23 | 3.32 | 1 | 2 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit at least two round-trippers in 29 games this season, and are 20-9 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay has gone 18-2 in its 20 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 45 times this season, and has a 28-17 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 27-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 13 games this season, and are 11-2 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 23-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in three games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 21 of the 26 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Milwaukee has won 26 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-4
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-255)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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