The New York Yankees (26-20) visit the Cincinnati Reds (19-24) to open a three-game series at Great American Ball Park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Yankees are coming off a series victory over the Blue Jays, and the Reds a series loss to the Rockies.
The Reds are an underdog (+147 moneyline odds) when they host the Yankees (-174). The contest has an over/under of 10.5.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of May 19, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -174 | +147 | 10.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 16 (61.5%) of those contests.
- This season New York has won seven of its eight games when favored by at least -174 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 40 chances.
- In 40 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 21-19-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 12, or 41.4%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Cincinnati has won four of 12 games when listed as at least +147 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 38 opportunities.
- The Reds are 23-15-0 against the spread in their 38 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.59 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- When Schmidt starts, his team is 3-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- In nine starts, Schmidt has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 4.4 frames per outing.
- When Schmidt starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-2.
- In games Schmidt has started, his team is 3-6.
- In Schmidt’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 18 | 16.2 | 17 | 2.16 | 3 | 3 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 17 | 20 | 25 | 4.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Clay Holmes | 17 | 17.1 | 23 | 2.60 | 3 | 4 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 15 | 19 | 17 | 2.37 | 1 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 15 | 21 | 23 | 4.71 | 2 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Ben Lively
- The Reds will look to Lively (1-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
- His most recent appearance was in relief on Tuesday when the righty tossed 2 1/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, surrendering one earned run while allowing only one hit.
- The Reds were the moneyline underdog for one Lively start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Lively’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 18 | 21 | 20 | 2.57 | 2 | 1 |
| Ian Gibaut | 17 | 19 | 19 | 2.84 | 5 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 17 | 20.2 | 19 | 3.48 | 3 | 0 |
| Alex Young | 17 | 18.1 | 23 | 2.95 | 5 | 0 |
| Alexis Diaz | 15 | 16 | 30 | 2.25 | 1 | 10 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit two or more long balls in 31 games this season, and are 22-9 in those contests.
- New York is 5-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 37 games this season, and is 25-12 in those contests.
- New York is 21-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Yankees are 12-4 in the 16 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 11-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-2.
- They have won 24 of the 38 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-4.
- They have won five of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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