Tigers vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 18, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (19-22) visit the Washington Nationals (18-26) to open a three-game series at Nationals Park, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. The Tigers are coming off a series split with the Pirates, and the Nationals a series loss to the Marlins.

A projected close matchup pits the Tigers (-113 on the moneyline) against the Nationals (-105). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of May 19, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Tigers vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Tigers -113 -105 8.5

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have entered the game as favorites three times this season and won twice.
  • Detroit has played as favorites of -113 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The Tigers have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of 35 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have an ATS record of 22-13-0 in 35 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 4
ERA 3.84
K/9 8.1

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (44.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has been victorious 16 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 36 chances this season.
  • The Nationals are 25-11-0 against the spread in their 36 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 7
ERA 3.98
K/9 6.4

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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matthew Boyd

  • Boyd’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed five hits in 1 1/3 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Friday, May 12.
  • Boyd has four starts of five or more innings this season in seven chances. He averages 4.6 innings per outing.
  • This will be Boyd’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • In games Boyd has started, his team is 4-3.
  • In games Boyd has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 17 17 23 1.06 1 7
Jason Foley 17 17.1 13 1.56 6 2
José Cisnero 16 16 14 2.81 4 0
Chasen Shreve 15 16.1 16 4.96 3 0
Tyler Alexander 12 19.2 19 6.86 1 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin

  • Irvin (1-1) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.11 ERA in 15 1/3 innings pitched, with 14 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the New York Mets, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Irvin enters the matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in three of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Irvin’s team has won two of his three starts.
  • Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of three contests.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carl Edwards Jr. 19 17.2 12 2.55 6 1
Erasmo Ramírez 18 23.1 13 3.86 2 0
Hunter Harvey 18 19 21 3.32 7 1
Mason Thompson 16 23.1 21 4.63 1 1
Kyle Finnegan 16 15.1 14 5.87 1 8

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • The Tigers are 4-3 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Detroit is 4-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 24 times this season, and has a 19-5 record in those games.
  • Detroit is 16-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Tigers have drawn at least five walks in 14 games this season, and are 10-4 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Washington has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season and won each of them.
  • They have a record of 15-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 11-5.
  • In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-8

Tigers vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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