The New York Mets (22-23) will look for another big outing from a batter on a hot streak against the Cleveland Guardians (20-23) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. Pete Alonso is currently on a three-game homer streak.
The Guardians are an underdog (+123 on the moneyline) when they visit the Mets (-144). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 19, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -144 | +123 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 31 times and won 15, or 48.4%, of those games.
- New York is 9-13 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 39 chances this season.
- The Mets are 13-26-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been victorious in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of its 35 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 35 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 12-23-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, April 15, when he threw five innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits against the Oakland Athletics.
- Carrasco’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Carrasco’s team has won one of his three starts.
- In the two games with a total started by Carrasco this season, the teams hit the over once.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 18 | 17 | 19 | 3.71 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 17 | 15.1 | 21 | 2.35 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 17 | 19 | 25 | 0.95 | 4 | 8 |
| Brooks Raley | 15 | 13.1 | 14 | 4.05 | 9 | 0 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, his ninth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 45 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the righty went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Quantrill will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for three Quantrill starts this season — they won each time.
- Quantrill’s team is 6-2 in his eight starts.
- Quantrill’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of seven games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 21 | 22.1 | 14 | 2.82 | 0 | 15 |
| James Karinchak | 19 | 18.2 | 25 | 4.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 18 | 17.2 | 19 | 1.53 | 6 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 16 | 15.1 | 14 | 2.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 15 | 18 | 18 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit at least two home runs in 12 games this season, and are 7-5 in those outings.
- New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 20-9 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- New York has a 20-6 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 3-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 11 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has a 9-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 8-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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