The San Francisco Giants (20-23) host the Miami Marlins (23-21) at 10:15 PM ET on Friday, a game featuring two of MLB’s most consistent batters. Thairo Estrada has an average of .313 (sixth in league) for the Giants, and Luis Arraez ranks first at .378 for the Marlins.
The Giants are favored (-124 on the moneyline) when they host the Marlins (+105). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 19, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Giants vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | -124 | +105 | 7.5 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have won eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Francisco has a record of 5-8, a 38.5% win rate, when favored by -124 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
- San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 17 of its 36 chances.
- The Giants are 17-19-0 against the spread this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been victorious in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won eight of 16 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 16 of 36 chances this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread record of 15-21-0 in 36 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.49 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
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Giants Probable Pitcher – Anthony DeSclafani
- DeSclafani’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- DeSclafani will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- DeSclafani’s team has a record of 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- DeSclafani’s team has won four of his eight starts this season.
- Games started by DeSclafani have a 3-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 20 | 19.2 | 28 | 2.29 | 0 | 11 |
| John Brebbia | 17 | 17.1 | 27 | 4.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | 17 | 22 | 16 | 2.45 | 8 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 16 | 15.2 | 9 | 5.17 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Rogers | 16 | 13.1 | 11 | 4.73 | 2 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara makes the start for the Marlins, his ninth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Alcantara will try to continue a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.4 innings per outing).
- The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for one Alcantara start this season — they lost.
- Alcantara’s team has won two of his eight starts.
- Alcantara has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huascar Brazoban | 18 | 24.2 | 29 | 3.65 | 7 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 18 | 19.1 | 22 | 3.72 | 1 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 5 | 4 |
| Tanner Scott | 15 | 20.1 | 25 | 4.43 | 6 | 2 |
| Matt Barnes | 15 | 18.1 | 16 | 3.44 | 2 | 0 |
Giants Hitting Trends
- The Giants have a 10-13 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
- San Francisco has gone 4-7 in its 11 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 26 times this season, and has a 12-14 record in those games.
- San Francisco has a 13-12 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Giants are 7-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 5-14 in those matchups.
- Miami has won each of its seven games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 43 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 22-21.
- In 23 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 15-8.
- They have won two of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Giants vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Giants (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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