The Boston Red Sox (24-20) will look to Justin Turner, on a two-game homer streak, versus the San Diego Padres (20-24) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, at PETCO Park.
The Padres are favored at home (-155) versus the Red Sox (+131). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 19, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -155 | +131 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
- This season San Diego has won five of its 11 games, or 45.5%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in nine of 36 games with a total.
- In 36 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 17-19-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (50%) in those games.
- Boston has a win-loss record of 9-4 when favored by +131 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 25 of its 37 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 24-13-0 against the spread in their 37 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.63 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell’s team is 1-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Snell will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Snell’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Snell’s team has a 1-7 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Snell’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 20 | 19 | 11 | 3.32 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 20 | 21.1 | 26 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 18 | 18 | 24 | 1.00 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 18 | 17.2 | 18 | 5.09 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 15 | 22.2 | 20 | 3.97 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- Paxton (0-0) takes the mound first for the Red Sox to make his second start of the season.
- His last time out was on Friday, May 12 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the lefty tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- The Red Sox have always been the moneyline underdog when Paxton starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Paxton’s only start with a total this season went over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Bleier | 16 | 18.2 | 12 | 5.79 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 15 | 26.1 | 20 | 2.39 | 6 | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 12 | 12 | 9 | 1.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Kenley Jansen | 12 | 12.2 | 17 | 4.26 | 0 | 9 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have put up at least two home runs in 18 games this season, and are 7-11 in those outings.
- San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 6-5 in those contests.
- The team is 14-8 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 15-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 12-7 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 11-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 10-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 19-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has a 22-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-155)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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