The Philadelphia Phillies (20-23) host the Chicago Cubs (19-24) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, in a contest between a pair of teams on losing streaks. The Phillies have dropped nine straight, and the Cubs 46 straight.
The favored Phillies (-135 moneyline odds to win) host the Cubs (+115). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 19, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -135 | +115 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 14 out of the 25 games, or 56%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 9-7, a 56.2% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 16 of 37 chances this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 17-20-0 in 37 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (38.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Chicago has won six of 13 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 37 opportunities.
- The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 20-17-0 in 37 games with a line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 6.80 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw four innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits against the Colorado Rockies.
- Suarez’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Suarez’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Suarez with a total this season hit the under.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 21 | 18.1 | 19 | 3.93 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 21 | 20 | 24 | 4.95 | 7 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 18 | 22.1 | 19 | 2.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 17 | 15 | 24 | 6.60 | 3 | 4 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 11 | 18.1 | 16 | 1.47 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- Stroman (2-4) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.24 ERA in 50 2/3 innings pitched, with 47 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Minnesota Twins, when he went 2 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Stroman heads into this matchup with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for three Stroman starts this season — they lost every time.
- In Stroman’s nine starts, his team is 3-6.
- Stroman’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in seven games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 17 | 18 | 21 | 7.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 16 | 18 | 28 | 2.00 | 7 | 1 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 15 | 22.2 | 21 | 1.99 | 6 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 16 | 19 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Merryweather | 15 | 15.2 | 18 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 9-2 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Philadelphia is 9-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 19-14 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 17-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have gone 9-4 over the 13 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 9-9 in those matchups.
- Chicago has won eight of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 24 of the 35 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has a 18-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won six of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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