Braves vs. Mariners Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 18, 2023

Ty France brings a 14-game hitting streak into the Seattle Mariners’ (21-22) game against the Atlanta Braves (27-16), at 7:20 PM ET on Friday, at Truist Park.

The Mariners are an underdog (+130 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Braves (-153). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of May 19, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Mariners Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -153 +130 8.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 19 (63.3%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has entered 16 games this season favored by -153 or more and is 11-5 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Braves are 13-22-0 against the spread in their 35 chances this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 19
ERA 3.34
K/9 10.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been victorious in four of the 10 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has been listed as an underdog of +130 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 16-19-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 3.52
K/9 8.6

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

  • Elder’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Elder has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Elder’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-1.
  • In games Elder has started, his team is 6-2.
  • Out of Elder’s seven starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 20 19.2 24 7.78 0 7
Jesse Chávez 19 18 22 2.50 9 1
Dylan Lee 18 20.1 23 3.10 6 0
Nick Anderson 16 18.1 21 2.95 6 1
Joe Jiménez 14 14 18 4.50 2 0

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller

  • Miller gets the start for the Mariners, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a .47 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 19 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty went seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • Miller will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.3 innings per outing).
  • The Mariners have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Miller starts this season.
  • Miller’s team has won all three of his starts this season.
  • Miller’s team has fallen short of the total in each of his three starts with a set total this season.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 22 19 36 4.74 4 1
Paul Sewald 20 19.2 25 3.66 0 9
Gabe Speier 20 16 13 3.38 6 0
Trevor Gott 20 21.1 23 2.11 6 0
Justin Topa 17 17 16 1.06 8 1

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have a 15-7 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
  • Atlanta is undefeated in its 10 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits in 33 games this season, and is 23-10 in those contests.
  • Atlanta is 23-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 17 games this season, and are 10-7 in those contests.

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In five games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-1.
  • In 29 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-12.
  • Seattle has a 22-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 13-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-153)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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