Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 18, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-19) are looking for continued power from a slugger on a hot streak versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-20) on Friday at 6:35 PM ET, at PNC Park. Christian Walker is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Diamondbacks are the road favorite (-181) versus the Pirates (+154). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of May 19, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Diamondbacks -181 +154 7.5

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have won 11 out of the 18 games, or 61.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Arizona has been at least -181 moneyline favorites four times this season and won each of those games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.4% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 36 chances.
  • The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 20-16-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 11
ERA 3.42
K/9 8.3

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (37.5%) in those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 17 of its 36 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have an against the spread record of 18-18-0 in 36 games with a line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 6
ERA 3.83
K/9 8.5

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen

  • Gallen and his team have a record of 6-1-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Gallen will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • When Gallen starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
  • In games Gallen has started, his team is 7-2.
  • In games Gallen has started this season, the teams are 2-4-1 at hitting the over.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 19 22 22 4.50 7 1
Andrew Chafin 18 16.2 26 3.78 3 6
Miguel Castro 18 19.2 16 2.75 7 3
Kyle Nelson 17 17 20 1.59 3 0
Kevin Ginkel 17 18.1 16 3.44 1 0

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • Oviedo makes the start for the Pirates, his ninth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Friday, the righty went five innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • Oviedo is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per start.
  • The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for four Oviedo starts this season — they lost each time.
  • In Oviedo’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
  • Oviedo has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those matchups.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Duane Underwood Jr. 16 21 11 4.71 3 2
Dauri Moreta 16 20 29 2.25 2 1
Colin Holderman 15 16 19 2.81 9 0
David Bednar 15 16 21 0.56 0 9
Jose Hernandez 15 17.1 19 3.12 2 0

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks are 14-6 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has gone 11-4 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 27-10 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Arizona is 28-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Diamondbacks are 10-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 13-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh is undefeated in 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 15 of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a 14-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-5

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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