The Chicago White Sox (16-28) will look to Jake Burger, riding a three-game homer streak, versus the Cleveland Guardians (19-23) at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday, at Guaranteed Rate Field.
The favored White Sox (-145 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Guardians (+123). The game’s total is 7.5.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of May 18, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
White Sox vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | -145 | +123 | 7.5 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won eight, or 57.1%, of those games.
- Chicago has played as favorites of -145 or more twice this season and split those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 59.2% chance to win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of 44 opportunities.
- The White Sox are 20-24-0 against the spread this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games.
- Cleveland has a mark of 2-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 17 of its 42 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 14-28-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease
- Cease and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he allowed four hits in six scoreless innings against the Houston Astros.
- Cease will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- Cease’s team is 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Cease’s team has won five of his nine starts this season.
- In games Cease has started this season, the teams are 5-2-2 at hitting the over.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lambert | 18 | 17.1 | 22 | 6.23 | 3 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 18 | 18.2 | 27 | 7.23 | 3 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 17 | 17.1 | 17 | 3.63 | 6 | 2 |
| Gregory Santos | 17 | 22 | 22 | 2.45 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Bummer | 16 | 13.1 | 13 | 9.45 | 5 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen (1-1) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.43 ERA in 21 2/3 innings pitched, with 24 strikeouts.
- The left-hander last appeared on Friday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Allen has three starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Allen start this season — they lost.
- In Allen’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Allen’s starts went over the run total two times in four games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 20 | 21.1 | 13 | 2.95 | 0 | 14 |
| James Karinchak | 19 | 18.2 | 25 | 4.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 17 | 16.2 | 18 | 1.62 | 5 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 16 | 15.1 | 14 | 2.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 15 | 18 | 18 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
White Sox Hitting Trends
- The White Sox have a 7-11 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Chicago has gone 6-3 in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 28 games this season, and is 15-13 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 10-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The White Sox are 2-4 in the six games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has won three of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 11 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has a 9-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 8-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
White Sox vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: White Sox (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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