The Tampa Bay Rays (32-12) and New York Mets (21-23) play a rubber match on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Rays are favored (-111) in an expected close game against the Mets (-106). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of May 18, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -111 | -106 | 9.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 29, or 76.3%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 29-9, a 76.3% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 52.6% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 25 of its 44 chances.
- The Rays are 28-16-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.07 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 10 games this season and have come away with the win four times (40%) in those contests.
- New York has a mark of 2-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets have an against the spread record of 16-29-0 in 45 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- Bradley and his team have covered in each of the three games he’s started with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, April 24, when he threw five innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits against the Houston Astros.
- Bradley and his team have won each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Bradley’s team is undefeated in the three games he’s started this season.
- The teams have hit the over in each of the three games Bradley has started this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 17 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.72 | 6 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | 17 | 18 | 22 | 3.00 | 4 | 5 |
| Jake Diekman | 16 | 13.2 | 13 | 7.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 15 | 22.1 | 18 | 4.84 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Thompson | 13 | 14 | 8 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (4-2) takes the mound first for the Mets in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.02 ERA in 40 1/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Friday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Megill will try to record his seventh matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
- Megill’s team has a 5-3 record in his starts this season.
- Megill has started eight contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 18 | 17 | 19 | 3.71 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 17 | 15.1 | 21 | 2.35 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 16 | 18 | 24 | 1.00 | 4 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Brooks Raley | 14 | 12.1 | 12 | 4.38 | 8 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 20-9 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Tampa Bay has had at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 18-2 in those outings.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 45 games this season, and is 28-17 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has a 27-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 11-2 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 7-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In six games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-2.
- In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-9.
- New York has a 20-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-3
Rays vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-111)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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