Phillies vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 17, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (19-23) will look to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Philadelphia Phillies (20-22), at 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Phillies are favored (-118 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Giants (+100). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 17, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -118 +100 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won 14, or 56%, of the 25 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has entered 21 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 12-9 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 54.1% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of 42 games with a total.
  • In 42 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 19-23-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 2.97
K/9 9.1

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been victorious in 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • San Francisco has a mark of 8-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with San Francisco has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 42 chances this season.
  • The Giants have posted a record of 19-23-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 4.34
K/9 6.7

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker

  • When Walker starts, his team is 5-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • Walker has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Walker’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-1.
  • Walker’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • In Walker’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Gregory Soto 20 19 23 3.79 7 1
Seranthony Domínguez 20 17.1 19 4.15 6 0
Connor Brogdon 17 21.1 19 2.53 2 0
Craig Kimbrel 17 15 24 6.60 3 4
Andrew Vasquez 10 17 14 1.59 0 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Ross Stripling

  • Stripling (0-2 with a 7.14 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Giants, his sixth of the season.
  • His last time out came on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the right-hander threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Stripling will look to collect his fourth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 3.6 innings per appearance.
  • The Giants have a 1-2 record in Stripling’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Stripling’s team has compiled a 1-4 record in his five starts.
  • Stripling’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of five games.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 19 18.2 27 2.41 0 10
Tyler Rogers 17 22 16 2.45 8 1
Taylor Rogers 16 13.1 11 4.73 2 1
John Brebbia 16 16.1 26 4.96 6 0
Scott Alexander 15 14.2 8 5.52 2 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have put up two or more homers in 11 games this season, and are 9-2 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 9-2 in those contests.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits in 32 games this season, and is 19-13 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a 17-2 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 9-4 in those contests.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They are 10-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • San Francisco has gone 4-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 11-14.
  • San Francisco has won 12 of its 24 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won six of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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