The San Diego Padres (20-23) and Kansas City Royals (13-31) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Padres are heavily favored (-278 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Royals (+233). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 17, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -278 | +233 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 13 out of the 25 games, or 52%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego has not been bigger favorites this season than the -278 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 14 of its 43 chances.
- In 43 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 20-23-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (30%) in those contests.
- Kansas City has played as an underdog of +233 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 30% chance of pulling out a win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 44 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals have posted a record of 17-27-0 against the spread this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish and his team are 3-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Darvish has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Darvish’s team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3.
- Darvish’s team is 3-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Darvish have a 2-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 19 | 18 | 11 | 3.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 19 | 20 | 24 | 3.60 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 18 | 18 | 24 | 1.00 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 17 | 16.2 | 17 | 5.40 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 15 | 22.2 | 20 | 3.97 | 3 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Carlos Hernandez
- Hernandez gets the start for the Royals, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the right-hander went one scoreless inning without surrendering a hit.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Hernandez starts this season — they lost both.
- Hernandez’s team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
- Hernandez has started three contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Garrett | 17 | 17.2 | 19 | 3.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Cuas | 16 | 18 | 23 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 15 | 20 | 24 | 4.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 15 | 15.2 | 25 | 3.45 | 5 | 1 |
| Taylor Clarke | 15 | 20.1 | 29 | 3.98 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have a 7-11 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego is 6-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 21 times this season, and has a 14-7 record in those games.
- San Diego is 15-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres are 12-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the 10 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Kansas City has gone 6-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 29 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 11-18.
- In 17 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 10-7.
- They have a 1-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-278)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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