Dodgers vs. Twins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 17, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (27-16) host the Minnesota Twins (24-19) at 3:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Dodgers are favored at home (-134) against the Twins (+114). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of May 17, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Twins Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -134 +114 8.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 39 games this season and won 25 (64.1%) of those contests.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 19 of its 32 games, or 59.4%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 22 of 43 chances this season.
  • The Dodgers have an ATS record of 24-19-0 in 43 games with a spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 17
ERA 2.71
K/9 9.1

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win four times (28.6%) in those games.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 4-4 when favored by +114 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 43 opportunities.
  • The Twins have posted a record of 23-20-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 15
ERA 3.23
K/9 9.8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Dustin May

  • May and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • May has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • When May starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-3.
  • May’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • In May’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 17 17.1 13 7.27 3 0
Caleb Ferguson 16 15.2 17 1.15 7 1
Phil Bickford 16 19.2 25 4.58 1 0
Brusdar Graterol 16 16 13 2.81 4 2
Shelby Miller 16 20 19 2.70 1 1

Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray

  • Gray (4-0 with a 1.39 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his ninth of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • Gray will look to extend a nine-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
  • The Twins were the moneyline underdog for one Gray start this season — they lost.
  • Gray’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Gray’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of eight games.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 19 18.2 19 4.34 6 0
Jorge López 18 19.2 17 1.37 6 3
Jhoan Duran 16 16.2 19 1.62 0 7
Jovani Moran 13 17.2 20 5.09 2 0
Emilio Pagán 13 17.1 17 4.15 0 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have hit at least two long balls in 25 games this season, and are 21-4 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 12-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits in 25 games this season, and is 21-4 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 22-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers are 19-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Twins Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 24-3 in those matchups.
  • Minnesota has won each of its 17 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-6.
  • In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-3.
  • They have won 12 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Twins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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