The Seattle Mariners (21-21) will look for Ty France to continue a 13-game hitting streak versus the Boston Red Sox (23-20), on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-130) versus the Mariners (+111). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of May 17, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -130 | +111 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won nine, or 56.2%, of the 16 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Boston has won four of its eight games when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 56.5% chance to win.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 43 opportunities.
- In 43 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-18-0 ATS.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Seattle has won two of five games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 42 opportunities.
- The Mariners have posted a record of 21-21-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.76 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello and his team have covered in each of his five starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday.
- Bello has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Bello’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Bello’s team has a 4-1 record in his starts this season.
- Games Bello has started this season hit the over four times in five chances.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Bleier | 16 | 18.2 | 12 | 5.79 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 15 | 26.1 | 20 | 2.39 | 6 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 12 | 12.2 | 17 | 4.26 | 0 | 9 |
| Chris Martin | 11 | 11 | 8 | 1.64 | 7 | 0 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Marco Gonzales
- Gonzales gets the start for the Mariners, his eighth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 4.42 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Friday, the lefty went six innings against the Detroit Tigers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Gonzales will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
- The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for four Gonzales starts this season — they won every game.
- Gonzales’ team has won five of his seven starts.
- Gonzales has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those outings.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 21 | 18 | 34 | 5.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 20 | 19.2 | 25 | 3.66 | 0 | 9 |
| Trevor Gott | 19 | 20 | 22 | 1.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 19 | 15 | 13 | 1.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 17 | 17 | 16 | 1.06 | 8 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have put up two or more homers in 18 games this season, and are 11-7 in those contests.
- Boston is 9-6 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 18-15 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Boston has a 21-7 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn at least five walks in 15 games this season, and are 9-6 in those contests.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Seattle has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 17 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 27 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 22-5.
- They have a 13-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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