The Detroit Tigers (19-21) have a 1-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (22-20) on Wednesday at Comerica Park, at 1:10 PM ET.
The Pirates are an underdog away (+146) at the Tigers (-174). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 17, 2023 at 1:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Tigers vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -174 | +146 | 7.5 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won both games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Detroit has not been bigger favorites this season than the -174 moneyline set for this game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Tigers, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%.
- So far this season, Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 41 games with a total.
- In 41 games with a spread this season, the Tigers are 24-17-0 ATS.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +146 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 19 of 42 chances this season.
- The Pirates are 22-20-0 against the spread in their 42 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.6 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodriguez
- Rodriguez and his team have a record of 6-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, May 10, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians while allowing four hits.
- Rodriguez will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Rodriguez’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Rodríguez’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
- In Rodríguez’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 17 | 17.1 | 13 | 1.56 | 6 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 17 | 17 | 23 | 1.06 | 1 | 7 |
| José Cisnero | 15 | 15.1 | 14 | 2.93 | 4 | 0 |
| Chasen Shreve | 15 | 16.1 | 16 | 4.96 | 3 | 0 |
| Tyler Alexander | 11 | 18.1 | 18 | 6.38 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill (3-3 with a 4.57 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 41 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his ninth of the season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 10 against the Colorado Rockies, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Hill has six starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Pirates have a 2-3 record in Hill’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hill’s team has won four of his eight starts.
- Hill has started eight contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 16 | 21 | 11 | 4.71 | 3 | 2 |
| Colin Holderman | 15 | 16 | 19 | 2.81 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 15 | 16 | 21 | 0.56 | 0 | 9 |
| Dauri Moreta | 15 | 19 | 26 | 2.37 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 14 | 16.1 | 17 | 3.31 | 2 | 0 |
Tigers Hitting Trends
- The Tigers have a 4-3 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Detroit is 4-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 19-5 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Detroit is 16-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Tigers are 10-4 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 13 of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 19 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-5.
- Pittsburgh has won 13 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-5
Tigers vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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