Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 17, 2023

The New York Yankees (25-19) will look for another strong showing from a hitter on a hot streak versus the Toronto Blue Jays (24-18) on Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre. Aaron Judge is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Yankees are a tight favorite (-116 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Blue Jays (-102). The total for this game is set at 8.

The insights in this article reflect odds as of May 17, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -116 -102 8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 20 out of the 31 games, or 64.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York is 18-11 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 44 chances.
  • The Yankees have an ATS record of 24-20-0 in 44 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.2
HR 25
ERA 4.80
K/9 8.2

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have come away with six wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 20 of 42 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays have posted a record of 22-20-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 9
ERA 3.03
K/9 9.1

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole

  • Cole’s team is 6-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
  • Cole’s team has won 88.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-1).
  • Cole’s team has an 8-1 record in his starts this season.
  • In Cole’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 17 16.1 17 1.65 3 3
Ron Marinaccio 16 19 25 4.74 4 0
Clay Holmes 16 16.1 22 2.76 3 4
Ian Hamilton 15 22 30 1.23 1 1
Jimmy Cordero 14 18 17 2.50 1 0

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt (5-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 49 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his ninth of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went nine scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Bassitt will try to build upon an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
  • The Blue Jays are 3-1 in Bassitt’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bassitt’s team is 5-3 over his eight starts.
  • Bassitt’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of eight games.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 20 21.1 25 2.11 9 0
Tim Mayza 18 14.1 15 1.26 3 1
Yimi Garcia 18 18.2 21 4.82 7 0
Jordan Romano 17 16 21 3.38 1 10
Anthony Bass 14 13 12 6.23 1 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have hit two or more round-trippers in 30 games this season, and are 21-9 in those outings.
  • New York has racked up five or more extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those outings.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits 36 times this season, and has a 24-12 record in those games.
  • New York has a 21-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Yankees are 12-3 over the 15 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 7-3 in those matchups.
  • Toronto has won each of its six games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • They have won 29 of the 39 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Toronto has won 24 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 5-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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