The Tampa Bay Rays (32-11) will look to Yandy Diaz, currently on a 12-game hitting streak, versus the New York Mets (20-23) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Citi Field.
The Rays (+108 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Mets (-126). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 17, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -126 | +108 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 16 (47.1%) of those contests.
- New York is 12-16 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 55.8%.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 44 games with a total.
- The Mets are 16-28-0 against the spread in their 44 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in five games this year and have walked away with the win three times (60%) in those games.
- Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +108 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 48.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 24 of 43 chances this season.
- The Rays are 27-16-0 against the spread in their 43 games that had a posted line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in five innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday.
- Senga will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Senga’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
- Senga’s team has won five of his seven starts this season.
- In games Senga has started this season, the teams are 2-5-0 at hitting the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 17 | 16 | 17 | 2.81 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 17 | 15.1 | 21 | 2.35 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 15 | 17 | 24 | 0.53 | 4 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Brooks Raley | 14 | 12.1 | 12 | 4.38 | 8 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Josh Fleming
- Fleming (0-0) makes the start for the Rays, his third of the season.
- In his last time out on Friday, the left-hander tossed four innings against the New York Yankees, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Fleming heads into the matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Rays were the moneyline underdog for one Fleming start this season — they lost.
- His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Fleming’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 16 | 17 | 20 | 1.59 | 4 | 5 |
| Colin Poche | 16 | 14.2 | 9 | 1.84 | 5 | 0 |
| Jake Diekman | 15 | 13.1 | 12 | 8.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 14 | 21.2 | 18 | 4.98 | 3 | 1 |
| Ryan Thompson | 12 | 13 | 7 | 5.54 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 6-5 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- New York has put up at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those outings.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 27 times this season, and has an 18-9 record in those games.
- New York is 19-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in nine games this season, and are 6-3 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has won 18 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 44 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-16.
- In 38 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 27-11.
- They have a 11-1 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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