The Chicago Cubs (19-23) hope to stop their 45-game losing run versus the Houston Astros (23-19), at 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Astros are a home favorite (-174) against the Cubs (+148). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 17, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -174 | +148 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 28 times and won 14, or 50%, of those games.
- Houston is 6-4 this season when entering a game favored by -174 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 42 games with a total.
- The Astros are 20-22-0 against the spread in their 42 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This year, Chicago has won one of three games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 40.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of its 42 opportunities.
- The Cubs are 22-20-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 6.23 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- France has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, throwing 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
- France will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- France’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- France’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by France this season, the teams hit the over once.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 18 | 20.1 | 34 | 1.33 | 7 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 6.48 | 2 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 17 | 21 | 22 | 0.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 16 | 18.1 | 22 | 1.47 | 6 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 16 | 17.1 | 16 | 3.63 | 0 | 7 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly (4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his ninth of the season.
- In his last time out on Saturday, the left-hander threw six innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Smyly is trying to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
- The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for four Smyly starts this season — they won all of the games.
- Smyly’s team has won six of his eight starts.
- Smyly has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 17 | 18 | 21 | 7.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 16 | 19 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 17 | 25 | 1.06 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 15 | 15.2 | 18 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 14 | 21.2 | 20 | 2.08 | 6 | 1 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 5-4 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
- Houston has collected at least five extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 5-2 in those outings.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 35 times this season, and has a 26-9 record in those games.
- Houston is 23-3 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 9-3 over the 12 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 9-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-1.
- They have a record of 24-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has won 18 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 6-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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