Padres vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 16, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (12-31) will aim to stop a 58-game losing streak when visiting the San Diego Padres (20-22) at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The favored Padres (-200 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Royals (+168). The game’s over/under is 8.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 16, 2023 at 9:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -200 +168 8

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 24 times and won 13, or 54.2%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered six games this season favored by -200 or more and is 5-1 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 66.7% chance to win.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 13 of its 42 chances.
  • The Padres are 20-22-0 against the spread in their 42 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 8
ERA 2.66
K/9 8.6

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 11, or 28.2%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious two times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +168 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 43 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread mark of 16-27-0 in 43 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 14
ERA 3.98
K/9 8.5

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo

  • Lugo and his team have a record of 5-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings against the Minnesota Twins.
  • Lugo will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • When Lugo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
  • In games Lugo has started, his team is 4-3.
  • In Lugo’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 19 18 11 3.50 6 0
Steven Wilson 18 19 24 3.79 8 0
Josh Hader 17 17 23 1.06 0 11
Luís Garcia 16 15.2 14 5.74 7 0
Brent Honeywell Jr. 15 22.2 20 3.97 3 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

  • Singer (2-4 with a 7.71 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Royals, his ninth of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, the righty tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • Singer heads into this matchup with six outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The Royals are 3-2 in Singer’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Singer’s team has won four of his eight starts.
  • Singer has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those outings.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Amir Garrett 17 17.2 19 3.57 0 0
Jose Cuas 16 18 23 5.00 0 0
Carlos Hernandez 15 20 24 4.50 3 0
Taylor Clarke 14 19.1 27 4.19 2 0
Aroldis Chapman 14 14.2 23 3.68 4 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 7-11 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • San Diego is 6-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits in 20 games this season, and is 14-6 in those contests.
  • San Diego is 15-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres have gone 12-6 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 3-7 in those matchups.
  • Kansas City has won six of its 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 10-18.
  • Kansas City has a 9-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-6

Padres vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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