Phillies vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 16, 2023

Michael Conforto rides a two-game homer streak into the San Francisco Giants’ (18-23) game against the Philadelphia Phillies (20-21) at 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday, at Oracle Park.

The Phillies (-114 moneyline odds to win) meet the Giants (-103) in a projected close matchup. The total in the game is 7.5 total runs.

The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of May 16, 2023 at 9:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -114 -103 7.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 14 (58.3%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 14-10 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 53.3% chance to win.
  • Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 41 chances this season.
  • The Phillies are 19-22-0 ATS in their 41 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 8
ERA 3.58
K/9 8.7

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (42.9%) in those games.
  • This season, San Francisco has come away with a win eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 41 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 41 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 18-23-0 against the spread.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 12
ERA 4.14
K/9 6.4

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler and his team are 5-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday.
  • Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • Wheeler’s team is 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Wheeler’s team is 5-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 3-4-1 at hitting the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Seranthony Domínguez 19 16.1 18 4.41 6 0
Gregory Soto 19 18 21 4.00 7 1
Connor Brogdon 17 21.1 19 2.53 2 0
Craig Kimbrel 17 15 24 6.60 3 4
Andrew Vasquez 10 17 14 1.59 0 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb (3-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 47 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Giants, his ninth of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Friday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he went 7 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up seven hits.
  • Cobb is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
  • The Giants have a 2-2 record in Cobb’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Cobb’s eight starts, his team is 5-3.
  • Cobb has had eight starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games hit the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 18 17.2 25 2.04 0 9
Tyler Rogers 16 20 16 2.70 7 1
Scott Alexander 15 14.2 8 5.52 2 0
John Brebbia 15 14.2 23 5.52 5 0
Taylor Rogers 15 12.1 9 5.11 2 1

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 9-2 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Philadelphia has gone 9-2 in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 19-12 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Philadelphia is 17-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Phillies have gone 9-3 in the 12 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 23 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-7.
  • In 24 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 10-14.
  • San Francisco has a 12-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won six of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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