Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 16, 2023

Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees (24-19) into a contest versus the Toronto Blue Jays (24-17), after his two-homer showing in a 7-4 victory over the Blue Jays, beginning at 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Blue Jays are a home favorite (-178) against the Yankees (+151). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 16, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -178 +151 8

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 18 (62.1%) of those contests.
  • This season Toronto has won seven of its 10 games, or 70%, when favored by at least -178 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 64%.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of 41 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 22-19-0 in 41 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 9
ERA 3.68
K/9 8.8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have come away with four wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +151 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 39.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 43 opportunities.
  • The Yankees have an against the spread record of 23-20-0 in 43 games with a line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.9
HR 23
ERA 4.80
K/9 8.3

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

  • When Gausman starts, his team is 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • Gausman has six starts of five or more innings this season in eight chances. He averages 6.0 innings per outing.
  • Gausman’s team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-3).
  • Gausman’s team has won four of his eight starts.
  • In games Gausman has started this season, the teams are 3-5-0 at hitting the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 19 20.1 25 1.33 9 0
Yimi Garcia 18 18.2 21 4.82 7 0
Tim Mayza 18 14.1 15 1.26 3 1
Jordan Romano 17 16 21 3.38 1 10
Anthony Bass 13 12 11 6.00 1 0

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo German

  • German makes the start for the Yankees, his ninth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Thursday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • German will try to build on a seven-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per appearance).
  • The Yankees were named the moneyline underdog for two German starts this season — they split the games.
  • Germán’s team is 3-5 in his eight starts.
  • German has started eight games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 16 15.1 17 1.76 3 2
Ron Marinaccio 15 18 24 3.50 4 0
Clay Holmes 15 15.1 21 2.93 2 4
Jimmy Cordero 14 18 17 2.50 1 0
Albert Abreu 14 20 21 4.95 1 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit at least two home runs in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those contests.
  • Toronto has racked up at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and won every time.
  • The team is 29-9 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Toronto has a 24-6 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have gone 5-3 in the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They have won 20 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • New York has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-12.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 20-8.
  • They have a 12-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-178)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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