The Boston Red Sox (22-20) will aim to snap a 50-game losing streak when hosting the Seattle Mariners (21-20) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Mariners are a favorite (-160) at the Red Sox (+137). The matchup has an over/under of 10.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 16, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -160 | +137 | 10.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 16 out of the 30 games, or 53.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle is 8-5 this season when entering a game favored by -160 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 41 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 21-20-0 against the spread in their 41 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 12, or 48%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Boston has been victorious five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 28 of its 42 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox are 24-18-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.63 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo’s team is 2-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
- Castillo will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- Castillo’s team is 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Castillo’s team has won four of his eight starts this season.
- In Castillo’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 21 | 18 | 34 | 5.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 19 | 19 | 25 | 3.32 | 0 | 9 |
| Gabe Speier | 19 | 15 | 13 | 1.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Trevor Gott | 19 | 20 | 22 | 1.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 17 | 17 | 16 | 1.06 | 8 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta (2-3) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his eighth start of the season. He has a 6.23 ERA in 34 2/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday, May 9, the righty tossed four innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Pivetta has put together five starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Pivetta’s starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- In Pivetta’s seven starts, his team is 3-4.
- Pivetta has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 18 | 17 | 21 | 2.12 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 16 | 18.2 | 12 | 5.79 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 14 | 24.2 | 19 | 2.55 | 5 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 12 | 12.2 | 17 | 4.26 | 0 | 9 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 9-3 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
- Seattle has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 17-11 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Seattle has a 22-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 13-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 10-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-6.
- They have won 17 of the 32 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has a 20-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+137)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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