The Houston Astros (22-19) aim to add to their 21-game winning streak when they face the Chicago Cubs (19-22) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park.
The Astros are a home favorite (-176) against the Cubs (+150). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of May 16, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -176 | +150 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 13 (48.1%) of those contests.
- Houston has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -176 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 63.8%.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 41 games with a total this season.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 19-22-0 in 41 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those games.
- Chicago has been listed as an underdog of +150 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 20 of its 41 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 22-19-0 in 41 games with a line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.58 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Javier has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Javier’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Javier’s team is 6-2 when he starts this season.
- Games Javier has started this season hit the over five times in eight chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 18 | 20.1 | 34 | 1.33 | 7 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 6.48 | 2 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 16 | 17.1 | 16 | 3.63 | 0 | 7 |
| Héctor Neris | 16 | 18.1 | 22 | 1.47 | 6 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 16 | 20 | 20 | 0.90 | 1 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele makes the start for the Cubs, his ninth of the season. He is 6-0 with a 1.82 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 49 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the left-hander threw six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Steele will try to extend a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
- The Cubs have a 2-1 record in Steele’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team has won six of his eight starts.
- Steele’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of eight contests.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 17 | 18 | 21 | 7.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 17 | 25 | 1.06 | 7 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 16 | 19 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Merryweather | 14 | 14.2 | 17 | 6.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 14 | 21.2 | 20 | 2.08 | 6 | 1 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 5-4 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Houston has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those outings.
- The team is 25-9 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Houston has a 22-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 9-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 9-7 in those matchups.
- Chicago has gone 8-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-10.
- Chicago has won 18 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 6-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-176)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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