The Atlanta Braves (26-15) will look for continued production from a slugger on a hot streak against the Texas Rangers (25-16) on Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET, at Globe Life Field. Ronald Acuna Jr. is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Rangers (-111 on the moneyline) and the Braves (-107) will play in a projected tight matchup. The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 16, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -111 | -107 | 9.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been favorites in 23 games this season and won 14 (60.9%) of those contests.
- This season Texas has won 14 of its 22 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 24 of its 41 chances.
- In 41 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 25-16-0 ATS.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won in four of the seven contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Atlanta has come away with a win four times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 24 of its 41 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Braves have posted a record of 19-22-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.20 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning
- Dunning has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits against the Seattle Mariners.
- Dunning has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Dunning has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
- Dunning’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Dunning this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Hernández | 16 | 16 | 17 | 3.94 | 8 | 0 |
| Will Smith | 14 | 14.1 | 18 | 3.14 | 4 | 7 |
| Brock Burke | 13 | 17 | 12 | 3.71 | 6 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 12 | 12 | 13 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Cole Ragans | 10 | 17.1 | 18 | 6.23 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- The Braves will look to Shuster (0-1) to open the game and make his third start this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, April 7 against the San Diego Padres, when he went four innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- The Braves were named the moneyline underdog for one Shuster start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Shuster’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 19 | 19 | 24 | 8.05 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 18 | 16.2 | 20 | 2.16 | 9 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 17 | 19 | 22 | 2.37 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 15 | 17.1 | 20 | 3.12 | 6 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 13 | 12.1 | 17 | 4.38 | 2 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have hit at least two home runs in 21 games this season, and are 17-4 in those outings.
- Texas is 9-9 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 40 times this season, and has a 28-12 record in those games.
- Texas is 26-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 11-9 in those contests.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They have won 14 of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has won each of its 10 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 22-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Atlanta has won 22 of its 27 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-7
Rangers vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-111)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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