The Cleveland Guardians (19-21) will look for continued production from a slugger on a roll against the Chicago White Sox (14-28) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, at Guaranteed Rate Field. Josh Naylor is currently on a three-game homer streak.
The White Sox are an underdog at home (+104) against the Guardians (-122). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 16, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -122 | +104 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 12 (46.2%) of those contests.
- Cleveland is 11-12 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 40 opportunities.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 14-26-0 in 40 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.90 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have come away with seven wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has a mark of 4-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 49% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of its 42 opportunities.
- The White Sox are 18-24-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.23 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- Bieber’s team is 2-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, May 9, when he allowed seven hits in six scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers.
- Bieber has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Bieber’s team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-4.
- Bieber’s team is 3-5 when he starts this season.
- Out of Bieber’s eight starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 20 | 21.1 | 13 | 2.95 | 0 | 14 |
| James Karinchak | 19 | 18.2 | 25 | 4.82 | 9 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 17 | 16.2 | 18 | 1.62 | 5 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 15 | 14.1 | 12 | 1.88 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 14 | 17 | 18 | 1.06 | 2 | 1 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lance Lynn
- Lynn makes the start for the White Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 1-5 with a 7.51 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Wednesday against the Kansas City Royals, the right-hander tossed five innings, giving up seven earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Lynn will try to continue a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
- The White Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Lynn’s starts this season, and they went 1-5 in those matchups.
- Lynn’s team has compiled a 1-7 record in his eight starts.
- Lynn’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of eight games.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lambert | 18 | 17.1 | 22 | 6.23 | 3 | 0 |
| Gregory Santos | 17 | 22 | 22 | 2.45 | 1 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 17 | 17.2 | 25 | 7.64 | 3 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 16 | 16.1 | 17 | 3.86 | 6 | 2 |
| Aaron Bummer | 16 | 13.1 | 13 | 9.45 | 5 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have hit at least two long balls in five games this season, and are 4-1 in those outings.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 3-4 in those contests.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 20 games this season, and is 11-9 in those contests.
- Cleveland has a 9-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 14 games this season, and are 8-6 in those contests.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 5-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-3.
- They have won 13 of the 26 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won eight of its 13 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In six games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-4
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: White Sox (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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