The New York Mets (20-22) host the Tampa Bay Rays (31-11) to start a three-game series at Citi Field, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday. The Mets are coming off a series victory over the Nationals, and the Rays a series loss to the Yankees.
The favored Mets (-157 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Rays (+134). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of May 16, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -157 | +134 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 16, or 48.5%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 9-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -157 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 19 of 43 chances this season.
- The Mets are 16-27-0 ATS in their 43 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in four games this year and have walked away with the win two times (50%) in those games.
- Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +134 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of its 42 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rays have an against the spread record of 26-16-0 in 42 games with a line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he threw seven innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up one earned run.
- Verlander has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Verlander’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Verlander’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Verlander this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 16 | 15 | 16 | 3.00 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 16 | 14.1 | 20 | 1.88 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 15 | 17 | 24 | 0.53 | 4 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 14 | 12.1 | 12 | 4.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Jalen Beeks
- Beeks gets the start for the Rays, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Saturday against the New York Yankees, when the lefty went two scoreless innings while giving up just one hit.
- The Rays have not been a moneyline underdog when Beeks starts this season.
- Beeks’ team has won one of his four starts.
- Beeks’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of four contests.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 16 | 14.2 | 9 | 1.84 | 5 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | 16 | 17 | 20 | 1.59 | 4 | 5 |
| Jake Diekman | 14 | 12.1 | 12 | 7.30 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 14 | 21.2 | 18 | 4.98 | 3 | 1 |
| Jalen Beeks | 11 | 20 | 16 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a 6-4 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
- New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 27 times this season, and has an 18-9 record in those games.
- New York is 19-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They are 19-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Tampa Bay has won 17 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 27-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 37 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-11.
- They have a 10-1 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+134)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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