Tigers vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 15, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (22-19) carry a 12-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Detroit Tigers (18-21), at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Pirates (+106 underdog on the moneyline) visit the Tigers (-125). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 16, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Tigers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Tigers -125 +106 8.5

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers won the only game they’ve played as the favorite this season.
  • Detroit has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -125 odds on them winning this game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 40 chances.
  • The Tigers are 23-17-0 ATS in their 40 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 7
ERA 3.64
K/9 8.3

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (44.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 11 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 19 of its 41 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 41 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 22-19-0 against the spread.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 1.8
HR 5
ERA 4.24
K/9 8.2

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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen

  • Lorenzen’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • Lorenzen has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Lorenzen has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Lorenzen’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
  • In Lorenzen’s five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 17 17 23 1.06 1 7
Jason Foley 17 17.1 13 1.56 6 2
Chasen Shreve 15 16.1 16 4.96 3 0
José Cisnero 14 14.1 12 3.14 4 0
Tyler Alexander 11 18.1 18 6.38 1 0

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz

  • Ortiz (0-1) gets the start for the Pirates, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The Pirates have always been the moneyline underdog when Ortiz starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Ortiz’s only start with a total this season went over.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Colin Holderman 15 16 19 2.81 9 0
David Bednar 15 16 21 0.56 0 9
Dauri Moreta 15 19 26 2.37 2 1
Duane Underwood Jr. 15 18.1 11 5.40 3 2
Jose Hernandez 14 16.1 17 3.31 2 0

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • The Tigers are 4-3 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Detroit has put up at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those outings.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 18-5 in those contests.
  • Detroit is 16-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Tigers have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 9-4 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 13-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh is undefeated in 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 14-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has won 13 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-5

Tigers vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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