Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 15, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (23-17) and St. Louis Cardinals (16-25) clash in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Busch Stadium, at 7:45 PM ET. The Brewers are coming off a series victory over the Royals, and the Cardinals a series win over the Red Sox.

The Brewers are projected as a close favorite (-116 moneyline odds to win) against the Cardinals (-101). The contest has a set total of 8.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 15, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -116 -101 8

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 15 out of the 25 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season Milwaukee has won 14 of its 23 games, or 60.9%, when favored by at least -116 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 40 chances.
  • The Brewers are 19-21-0 against the spread in their 40 chances this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 16
ERA 4.66
K/9 8.2

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (33.3%) in those games.
  • This season, St. Louis has come away with a win five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 22 of 41 chances this season.
  • In 41 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 18-23-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 18
ERA 4.80
K/9 7.3

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta and his team are 4-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday.
  • Peralta has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Peralta’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
  • Peralta’s team is 4-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Peralta has started this season, the teams are 3-3-1 at hitting the over.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 18 16 11 3.94 4 0
Peter Strzelecki 17 18 16 3.50 9 0
Joel Payamps 16 19.1 19 2.79 3 1
Devin Williams 12 12.1 17 0.73 0 5
Bryse Wilson 11 20 21 2.70 1 2

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

  • Flaherty gets the start for the Cardinals, his ninth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 39 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs, the righty threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Flaherty has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season entering this game.
  • The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Flaherty’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • Flaherty’s team has compiled a 4-4 record over his eight starts.
  • Flaherty’s starts went over the run total five times in eight games with a set total this season.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 18 20.2 22 4.35 4 0
Jordan Hicks 15 16 27 6.19 3 0
Génesis Cabrera 14 15.2 24 3.45 2 0
Chris Stratton 14 22.1 23 2.82 0 0
Giovanny Gallegos 13 14.2 12 2.45 2 3

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have a 22-4 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
  • Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and won each time.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits 25 times this season, and has a 20-5 record in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a 26-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 18 games this season, and are 15-3 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 19 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 17-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 22-12.
  • St. Louis has a 20-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-8

Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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