Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 15, 2023

The New York Mets (20-21) bring a 20-game winning streak into a road contest versus the Washington Nationals (17-23) at 4:05 PM ET on Monday.

The Mets are a favorite (-150) at the Nationals (+128). The game’s total is 9.5.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 15, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -150 +128 9.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 16, or 50%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has a record of 9-12, a 42.9% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
  • Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 42 chances this season.
  • The Mets are 16-26-0 ATS in their 42 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 7
ERA 4.08
K/9 8.8

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been victorious in 17, or 42.5%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a mark of 14-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 40 chances this season.
  • The Nationals are 25-15-0 against the spread in their 40 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 9
ERA 4.66
K/9 7.1

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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson

  • Peterson’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday.
  • In seven starts this season, Peterson has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.9 innings per appearance.
  • Peterson and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Peterson has started, his team is 1-6.
  • In games Peterson has started this season, the teams are 4-3-0 at hitting the over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 16 15 16 3.00 4 4
Drew Smith 16 14.1 20 1.88 7 1
David Robertson 15 17 24 0.53 4 7
Jeurys Familia 14 12.2 9 6.39 1 2
Brooks Raley 14 12.1 12 4.38 8 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, his ninth of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.87 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the lefty threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Corbin will try to build on an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
  • The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 3-5 in those games.
  • In Corbin’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
  • Corbin has started eight contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hunter Harvey 17 18.1 20 1.96 7 1
Erasmo Ramírez 17 22.1 12 4.03 2 0
Carl Edwards Jr. 17 15.1 10 2.93 6 1
Mason Thompson 15 22.1 21 4.43 1 1
Kyle Finnegan 15 14.1 13 6.28 0 8

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets are 6-4 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • New York has racked up five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those outings.
  • The club is 18-8 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • New York is 19-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Mets have gone 6-3 over the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Washington is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-11.
  • Washington has a 10-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 5-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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