Reds vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 14, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (17-24) ride a six-game win streak into a matchup versus the Cincinnati Reds (18-22), at 8:40 PM ET on Monday.

The Reds are favored (-127 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Rockies (+107). The over/under for this game is 11.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of May 15, 2023 at 7:26 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -127 +107 11

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have won six, or 54.5%, of the 11 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 4-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 40 games with a total.
  • The Reds have an ATS record of 25-15-0 in 40 games with a spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 4.91
K/9 7.6

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (44.1%) in those games.
  • Colorado has a mark of 14-18 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of its 41 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 19-22-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 7
ERA 3.38
K/9 9.1

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene

  • Greene and his team are 4-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the New York Mets, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Greene has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • When Greene starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-3.
  • In games Greene has started, his team is 2-6.
  • Games started by Greene have a 3-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Derek Law 17 20.2 19 2.61 2 1
Ian Gibaut 16 18 18 3 4 1
Alex Young 16 17.1 21 3.12 4 0
Buck Farmer 16 19.2 18 3.2 3 0
Alexis Diaz 14 15 29 2.4 1 9

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Connor Seabold

  • The Rockies are sending Seabold (1-0) out for his third start of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • Seabold is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 2.6 innings per start.
  • The Rockies were the moneyline underdog for two Seabold starts this season — they won both.
  • His team has won both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
  • Seabold’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 17 22.2 27 1.99 5 0
Jake Bird 17 27 28 3 1 0
Brad Hand 16 15.1 23 2.93 0 0
Brent Suter 15 25 23 1.08 1 0
Pierce Johnson 15 15.1 23 5.28 0 6

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds are 11-2 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Cincinnati has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 10-1 in those outings.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits 36 times this season, and has a 24-12 record in those games.
  • Cincinnati is 26-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 15 games this season, and are 5-10 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 6-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has gone 5-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 15-13.
  • Colorado has won 12 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-2

Reds vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rockies (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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