The Houston Astros (21-19) and Chicago Cubs (19-21) square off on Monday at 8:10 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Minute Maid Park.
The favored Astros (-194 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Cubs (+165). The game’s over/under is set at 7.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 15, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -194 | +165 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has entered five games this season favored by -194 or more and is 2-3 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 66% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of 40 games with a total.
- The Astros are 18-22-0 ATS in their 40 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has played as an underdog of +165 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 37.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 40 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Cubs are 22-18-0 against the spread in their 40 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in eight innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- Valdez’s team has a record of 1-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Valdez’s team has won three of his eight starts.
- Games Valdez has started this season hit the over four times in eight chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 18 | 20.1 | 34 | 1.33 | 7 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 16 | 17.1 | 16 | 3.63 | 0 | 7 |
| Rafael Montero | 16 | 15.2 | 20 | 6.89 | 2 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 15 | 17.1 | 20 | 1.56 | 6 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 15 | 19 | 19 | 0.95 | 1 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon makes the start for the Cubs, his sixth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 6.41 ERA and 25 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went 2 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Taillon is looking to pick up his third start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- The Cubs were named the moneyline underdog for one Taillon start this season — they lost.
- Taillon’s five starts have all ended in a loss for his team this season.
- Taillon has had five starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 16 | 14.2 | 13 | 5.52 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Fulmer | 16 | 17.1 | 20 | 6.75 | 3 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 16 | 19 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 17 | 25 | 1.06 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 14 | 14.2 | 17 | 6.14 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 5-4 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Houston is 4-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 33 times this season, and has a 24-9 record in those games.
- Houston is 21-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros are 9-3 over the 12 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 9-7 in those matchups.
- Chicago has won eight of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 24-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has a 18-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won six of their 15 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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