The Washington Nationals (16-22) host the New York Mets (19-20) at 4:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mets are a favorite (-199) at the Nationals (+167). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 14, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -199 | +167 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 15 (50%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 3-7, a 30% win rate, when favored by -199 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 66.6%.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 40 games with a total this season.
- The Mets are 15-25-0 against the spread in their 40 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.08 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win eight times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 38 chances this season.
- The Nationals are 24-14-0 against the spread in their 38 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 3 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday, May 3 in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- In five starts, Scherzer has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 4.4 frames per outing.
- Scherzer’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
- Scherzer’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
- In games Scherzer has started this season, the teams are 3-2-0 at hitting the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 16 | 15 | 16 | 3.00 | 4 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 16 | 14.1 | 20 | 1.88 | 7 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 15 | 17 | 24 | 0.53 | 4 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Jeff Brigham | 11 | 12 | 14 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin (1-0) takes the mound first for the Nationals to make his third start this season.
- His last time out was on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
- Irvin has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this season heading into this outing.
- The Nationals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Irvin starts this season — they won both.
- His team has won both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
- Irvin’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmo Ramírez | 16 | 19.2 | 8 | 4.58 | 2 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 16 | 16.2 | 19 | 2.16 | 7 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 16 | 15 | 10 | 2.40 | 5 | 1 |
| Mason Thompson | 15 | 22 | 21 | 3.68 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 14 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 7 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have racked up two or more round-trippers in 10 games this season, and are 6-4 in those contests.
- New York has put up at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those contests.
- The team is 13-7 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- New York is 14-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 4-2 in those matchups.
- Washington has won each of its five games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 13-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 10-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-4
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+167)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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