The Milwaukee Brewers (22-17) have a 45-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Kansas City Royals (12-29) on Sunday at American Family Field, at 2:10 PM ET.
The Royals (+145 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Brewers (-172). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 14, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -172 | +145 | 9.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 14 (58.3%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has entered four games this season favored by -172 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 63.2% chance to win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 39 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers are 18-21-0 ATS in their 39 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been victorious in 11, or 29.7%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win three times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 41 opportunities.
- The Royals are 16-25-0 against the spread in their 41 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea’s team is 2-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Wednesday, when he threw two-thirds of an inning, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Rea has five starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 4.5 innings per outing.
- Rea’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Rea’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Rea’s five starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 18 | 16 | 11 | 3.94 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 17 | 18 | 16 | 3.50 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 16 | 19.1 | 19 | 2.79 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 12 | 12.1 | 17 | 0.73 | 0 | 5 |
| Bryse Wilson | 11 | 20 | 21 | 2.70 | 1 | 2 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles (0-6) gets the starting nod for the Royals in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.84 ERA in 49 1/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
- The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw nine innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Lyles is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per start.
- The Royals were the moneyline underdog for eight Lyles starts this season — they lost each time.
- Lyles’ team has dropped all eight of his starts this season.
- Lyles’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of eight contests.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Garrett | 17 | 16.2 | 18 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Cuas | 16 | 16.1 | 21 | 4.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 15 | 19 | 22 | 4.74 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 14 | 19.1 | 27 | 4.19 | 2 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 14 | 14.2 | 23 | 3.68 | 4 | 1 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 16-4 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has put up five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and won every time.
- The team is 20-5 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee has a 20-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers have drawn at least five walks in 18 games this season, and are 15-3 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 3-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has gone 6-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 26 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 10-16.
- In 14 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 9-5.
- In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-6
Brewers vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-172)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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