The Baltimore Orioles (26-13) have a 26-0 series lead and hope to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19) on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 1:35 PM ET.
An expected close matchup pits the Pirates (-109 on the moneyline) against the Orioles (-108). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of May 14, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -109 | -108 | 8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won eight, or 72.7%, of the 11 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates have a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of 40 games with a total.
- The Pirates are 21-19-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.71 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with nine wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Baltimore has been victorious nine times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 39 opportunities.
- In 39 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 25-14-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.40 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Pirates or Orioles, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller and his team are 7-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander allowed four hits in nine scoreless innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Monday.
- Keller has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Keller’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Keller’s team has a 6-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games Keller has started this season hit the over five times in eight chances.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 15 | 15 | 17 | 3.00 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 15 | 15 | 19 | 0.60 | 0 | 9 |
| Dauri Moreta | 15 | 19 | 26 | 2.37 | 2 | 1 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 15 | 18.1 | 11 | 5.40 | 3 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 14 | 16.1 | 17 | 3.31 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson (4-2) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.40 ERA in 47 2/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
- His last appearance was on Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Gibson will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Gibson’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
- In Gibson’s eight starts, his team is 5-3.
- Gibson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of eight contests.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 18 | 19 | 24 | 1.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 17 | 19 | 36 | 1.42 | 0 | 10 |
| Cionel Pérez | 17 | 13.2 | 12 | 4.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 16 | 19 | 19 | 3.79 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 16 | 13.1 | 19 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have hit two or more home runs in 14 games this season, and are 13-1 in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and won every time.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 19 games this season, and is 14-5 in those contests.
- Pittsburgh is 13-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates have drawn at least five walks in 14 games this season, and are 9-5 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 12-5 in those matchups.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-1.
- In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-7.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 21-4.
- They have a 13-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Pirates vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
