The New York Mets (19-20) and Washington Nationals (16-22) clash on Sunday at 12:35 PM ET.
The Nationals play as a home underdog (+169) against the Mets (-200). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of May 14, 2023 at 11:20 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -200 | +169 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 15, or 50%, of the 30 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 3-7 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 66.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 40 chances this season.
- The Mets are 15-25-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.08 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won seven of 14 games when listed as at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 37.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 24-14-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, May 3, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Scherzer has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings three times. He averages 4.4 innings per appearance.
- Scherzer’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
- Scherzer’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
- Games started by Scherzer have a 3-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | 16 | 14.1 | 20 | 1.88 | 7 | 1 |
| Adam Ottavino | 16 | 15 | 16 | 3.00 | 4 | 4 |
| David Robertson | 15 | 17 | 24 | 0.53 | 4 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Jeff Brigham | 11 | 12 | 14 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin (1-0) makes the start for the Nationals, his third of the season.
- His last time out was on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
- Irvin is trying to collect his second start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- The Nationals were the moneyline underdog for two Irvin starts this season — they won both.
- His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Irvin’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmo Ramírez | 16 | 19.2 | 8 | 4.58 | 2 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 16 | 16.2 | 19 | 2.16 | 7 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 16 | 15 | 10 | 2.40 | 5 | 1 |
| Mason Thompson | 15 | 22 | 21 | 3.68 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 14 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 7 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a 6-4 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 20 times this season, and has a 13-7 record in those games.
- New York has a 14-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn at least five walks in nine games this season, and are 6-3 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 13-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 10-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 5-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+169)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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