Cardinals vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (15-25) will attempt to keep a 32-game winning streak alive when they visit the Boston Red Sox (22-18) at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Red Sox play as a home underdog (+107) versus the Cardinals (-125). The over/under for the game is set at 10 total runs.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 14, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -125 +107 10

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 21 games this season and won nine (42.9%) of those contests.
  • St. Louis has entered 18 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 7-11 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 21 of its 40 chances.
  • In 40 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 17-23-0 ATS.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 17
ERA 5.30
K/9 7.4

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (52.2%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a mark of 10-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 40 chances this season.
  • In 40 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 24-16-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 11
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.3

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Monday.
  • In eight starts this season, Mikolas has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • Mikolas’ team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • Mikolas’ team is 4-4 when he starts this season.
  • In games Mikolas has started this season, the teams are 5-3-0 at hitting the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 18 20.2 22 4.35 4 0
Jordan Hicks 15 15 24 6.60 3 0
Chris Stratton 14 21.1 21 2.95 0 0
Génesis Cabrera 14 14.2 22 3.68 2 0
Ryan Helsley 13 16.1 21 2.76 2 4

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber

  • Kluber gets the start for the Red Sox, his eighth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 6.29 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 34 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, May 6, the right-hander threw five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Kluber is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
  • The Red Sox have a 3-2 record in Kluber’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Kluber’s seven starts, his team is 3-4.
  • Kluber’s starts went over the run total six times in seven games with a set total this season.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ryan Brasier 18 18.2 16 6.75 1 1
John Schreiber 17 16.2 20 2.16 6 0
Richard Bleier 15 16.1 10 5.51 2 0
Josh Winckowski 14 24.2 19 2.55 5 1
Kenley Jansen 12 12.2 17 4.26 0 9

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have hit at least two home runs in 20 games this season, and are 15-5 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 13-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 18-12 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • St. Louis has a 16-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals are 5-8 in the 13 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 10-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-6.
  • They have a record of 17-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Boston has won 20 of its 27 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cardinals vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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