Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (17-21) hope to end their 25-game losing run versus the Seattle Mariners (20-19), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The Tigers are an underdog (+157 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Mariners (-185). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of May 14, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -185 +157 8.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 15, or 53.6%, of the 28 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle is 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 64.9% chance to win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 39 chances.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 20-19-0 in 39 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 9
ERA 2.47
K/9 9.0

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been victorious in 17, or 44.7%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a mark of 8-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +157 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Tigers are 22-17-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 9
ERA 3.44
K/9 7.6

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert and his team have a record of 3-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • Gilbert has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Gilbert’s team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-4).
  • Gilbert’s team is 3-4 when he starts this season.
  • In Gilbert’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 21 17.2 34 5.09 4 1
Paul Sewald 19 19 25 3.32 0 9
Trevor Gott 19 19.2 22 1.83 6 0
Gabe Speier 18 14.1 12 0.63 5 0
Justin Topa 17 17 16 1.06 8 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz (1-3 with a 6.09 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Tigers, his eighth of the season.
  • In his last time out on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, the left-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Wentz will try to prolong a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.9 innings per outing).
  • The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
  • Wentz’s team has won three of his seven starts.
  • Wentz’s starts went over the run total six times in eight games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 17 16 21 1.13 1 6
Jason Foley 17 16.1 12 1.65 6 2
Chasen Shreve 15 15.1 14 5.28 2 0
José Cisnero 14 13 11 3.46 4 0
Mason Englert 11 21.2 18 4.57 2 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have put up at least two round-trippers in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those contests.
  • Seattle has racked up five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and has gone 2-1 in those outings.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 20 games this season, and is 15-5 in those contests.
  • Seattle has a 20-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners are 13-2 in the 15 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won four of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 18 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-5.
  • In 13 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 11-2.
  • They have won four of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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