The Minnesota Twins (22-18) will attempt to keep a 15-game win streak alive when they host the Chicago Cubs (19-20) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Twins (-135 moneyline odds) host the Cubs (+115). The contest has a set total of 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of May 14, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -135 | +115 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 19 (70.4%) of those contests.
- This season Minnesota has won 13 of its 19 games, or 68.4%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 40 chances this season.
- In 40 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 21-19-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (50%) in those contests.
- Chicago has a mark of 7-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 18 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs have posted a record of 22-17-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Louie Varland
- Varland’s team is 1-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Varland’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Varland’s team is 1-2 when he starts this season.
- Out of Varland’s three starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 17 | 16.2 | 18 | 4.32 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 17 | 17 | 13 | 1.59 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 15 | 14.2 | 17 | 1.84 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 12 | 16.1 | 19 | 5.51 | 1 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 12 | 15.2 | 15 | 4.02 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- The Cubs are sending Stroman (2-3) out to make his ninth start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 2.28 ERA and 44 strikeouts through 47 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Stroman will look to last five or more innings for his ninth straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- The Cubs are 1-2 in Stroman’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Stroman’s team has won three of his eight starts.
- Stroman’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of eight games.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 16 | 14.2 | 13 | 5.52 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Fulmer | 16 | 16.2 | 19 | 5.40 | 3 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 14.2 | 18 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 17 | 25 | 1.06 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 14 | 14 | 16 | 5.79 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up at least two dingers in 19 games this season, and are 17-2 in those outings.
- Minnesota has won each of its 10 games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 25 games this season, and is 20-5 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 20-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 10 games this season, and are 5-5 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 9-3 in those matchups.
- In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-1.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has a 18-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-9
Twins vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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