Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2023 - Last Updated on May 14, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (30-11) will try to snap a 40-game losing streak when visiting the New York Yankees (23-18) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rays are favored (-132 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Yankees (+114). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of May 14, 2023 at 1:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -132 +114 8.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 28, or 75.7%, of the 37 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 27-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of 41 opportunities.
  • The Rays are 26-15-0 ATS in their 41 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 16
ERA 3.83
K/9 7.6

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 10 games this season and have come away with the win three times (30%) in those contests.
  • New York has a mark of 2-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of its 41 opportunities.
  • The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 21-20-0 in 41 games with a line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 20
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.5

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Eflin has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Eflin’s team is 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Eflin’s team has won five of his six starts.
  • Games Eflin has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Colin Poche 16 14 8 1.29 5 0
Jason Adam 16 16 20 1.69 4 4
Kevin Kelly 14 21.1 17 5.06 3 1
Jake Diekman 14 12.1 12 7.30 2 0
Jalen Beeks 11 20 16 5.40 2 0

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees, his ninth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 43 strikeouts over 35 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday against the Oakland Athletics, the righty went six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Schmidt has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season entering this game.
  • The Yankees have a 1-2 record in Schmidt’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Schmidt’s team is 3-5 in his eight starts.
  • Schmidt has had eight starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those outings finished over the total.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 16 15.1 17 1.76 3 2
Ron Marinaccio 15 17 22 3.71 4 0
Clay Holmes 15 15.1 21 2.93 2 4
Jimmy Cordero 14 16 17 2.81 1 0
Albert Abreu 14 17.2 18 5.09 1 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have a 19-8 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 17-1 in its 18 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits 39 times this season, and has a 23-16 record in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 22-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rays have gone 10-1 over the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They have won 19 of the 23 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • New York has won three of its four games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 22 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • New York has won 19 of its 22 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-3

Rays vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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