The Cincinnati Reds (18-21) will look to Jake Fraley, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Miami Marlins (19-21) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, at LoanDepot park.
The favored Marlins (-156 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Reds (+133). The over/under in the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of May 14, 2023 at 1:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -156 | +133 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as favorites of -156 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 18 of 40 chances this season.
- In 40 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 15-25-0 ATS.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 5-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +133 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 21 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds have an against the spread record of 25-14-0 in 39 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Garrett has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings three times. He averages 4.5 innings per appearance.
- Garrett’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- In games Garrett has started, his team is 3-2.
- Games Garrett has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huascar Brazoban | 16 | 22.2 | 27 | 1.99 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 16 | 17.1 | 20 | 4.15 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 15 | 17.1 | 17 | 3.12 | 5 | 1 |
| A.J. Puk | 14 | 14.2 | 19 | 3.68 | 0 | 6 |
| Matt Barnes | 14 | 16.2 | 16 | 3.78 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver gets the start for the Reds, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and 21 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the New York Mets, the righty tossed six innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Weaver enters the game with three outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Reds have a 2-2 record in Weaver’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Weaver’s team is 2-2 over his four starts.
- Weaver has started four contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 17 | 20.2 | 19 | 2.61 | 2 | 1 |
| Ian Gibaut | 16 | 18 | 18 | 3.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 16 | 17.1 | 21 | 3.12 | 4 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 16 | 19.2 | 18 | 3.20 | 3 | 0 |
| Alexis Diaz | 14 | 15 | 29 | 2.40 | 1 | 9 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have put up at least two round-trippers in 19 games this season, and are 5-14 in those outings.
- Miami has racked up at least five extra-base hits in seven games this season, and won every time.
- The team is 15-21 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Miami has a 13-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 2-9 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 11-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-1.
- They have won 24 of the 36 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has a 26-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won five of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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