The Milwaukee Brewers (21-17) will aim to keep a 20-game winning streak alive when they host the Kansas City Royals (12-28) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Brewers are favored (-162 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Royals (+139). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of May 13, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -162 | +139 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 23 times this season and won 13, or 56.5%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 2-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -162 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 38 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 18-20-0 ATS in their 38 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (30.6%) in those games.
- Kansas City has a mark of 4-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +139 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of its 40 opportunities.
- In 40 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 15-25-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, throwing 4 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
- This will be Houser’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
- Houser’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Houser with a total this season hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 18 | 14 | 10 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 17 | 17 | 13 | 3.71 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 16 | 18.1 | 17 | 2.95 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 12 | 11.1 | 16 | 0.79 | 0 | 5 |
| Bryse Wilson | 11 | 20 | 21 | 2.70 | 1 | 2 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- The Royals are sending Greinke (1-4) to the mound for his ninth start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA and 27 strikeouts through 41 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Monday against the Chicago White Sox, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Greinke will look to build on a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Greinke’s starts this season, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
- Greinke’s team has a 3-5 record in his eight starts.
- Greinke has had eight starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those outings hit the over.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Garrett | 17 | 16.2 | 18 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Cuas | 16 | 16.1 | 21 | 4.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 15 | 18.1 | 22 | 4.42 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 14 | 18 | 24 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 14 | 13.2 | 21 | 3.95 | 4 | 1 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have an 11-4 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 20-5 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee has a 20-2 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 15-3 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 3-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 6-4.
- They have a record of 10-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has a 9-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-6
Brewers vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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