The Baltimore Orioles (25-13) ride a 22-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-18) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Pirates (+150 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Orioles (-178). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 13, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -178 | +150 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 16 (80%) of those contests.
- Baltimore has entered eight games this season favored by -178 or more and is 7-1 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 38 games with a total.
- The Orioles are 24-14-0 ATS in their 38 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (46.4%) in those games.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40% chance of walking away with the win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 19 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 21-18-0 against the spread in their 39 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- Wells and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in five innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Wells has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Wells has started four games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Wells’ team is 4-2 when he starts this season.
- Games Wells has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 18 | 19 | 24 | 1.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 17 | 18 | 33 | 1.50 | 0 | 9 |
| Cionel Pérez | 17 | 13.2 | 12 | 4.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 16 | 19 | 19 | 3.79 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 16 | 13.1 | 19 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- The Pirates are sending Contreras (3-3) out to make his eighth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Contreras will look to continue a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per appearance).
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Contreras’ starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- In Contreras’ seven starts, his team is 4-3.
- Contreras has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 15 | 15 | 17 | 3.00 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 15 | 15 | 19 | 0.60 | 0 | 9 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 15 | 18.1 | 11 | 5.40 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 15 | 19 | 26 | 2.37 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 14 | 16.1 | 17 | 3.31 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 10-5 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Baltimore has gone 11-1 in its 12 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 25 games this season, and is 18-7 in those contests.
- Baltimore has a 21-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 15 games this season, and are 13-2 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 13-1 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has collected five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season and won each of them.
- In 19 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-5.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-2.
- They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-178)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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